– Mesmo se as vendas não caírem no último trimestre, 2015 vai fechar com baixa histórica: – 27,4%
Depois de quedas constantes desde o início do ano, as vendas devem se estabilizar no últimos trimestre do ano, conforme previsão de Luiz Moan, presidente da Anfavea, a associação dos fabricantes, que anunciou nesta terça-feira mais uma queda de vendas, perfazendo uma retração de 19,8% de janeiro a setembro.
O que poderia ser uma boa notícia (a estabilidade das vendas) apenas aprofunda mais a situação quase trágica do setor este ano. Isso porque será uma estabilidade no patamar mais baixo dos últimos dez anos. Tanto que, se as vendas em outubro, novembro e dezembro se mantiverem estáveis, a queda no ano vai subir para 27,4% (em relação a 2014).
É que no último trimestre do ano passado as vendas foram boas, com muita gente aproveitando para comprar antes da volta do IPI, em janeiro de 2015. Pelo que se vê este ano será impossível manter o mesmo ritmo de vendas verificado no mesmo período de 2014.
A produção de veículos registrou 1,9 milhão de unidades até setembro, o pior desempenho desde 2006, quando foram fabricados 1,8 milhão.
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